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Information regarding the Gulf oil spill

Mon, May 3 2010

* So-called Loop Current may carry oil to Florida Straits
Bonds
* Scientist sees "imminent" tie up between oil and current
* Florida Everglades may be spared by black tide

By Tom Brown

MIAMI, May 4 (Reuters) - Crude from the massive Gulf of Mexico oil spill could eventually slosh ashore on Miami Beach or North Carolina's barrier islands, if it connects with a powerful sea current, an oceanographer said on Tuesday.

Robert Weisberg, a physical oceanographer at the University of South Florida, told a conference call the so-called Loop Current that sweeps around the Gulf was poised to connect with the spreading oil slick.

Once "entrainment" occurs, he said, the oil would be pulled quickly south along Florida's Gulf coast and out into the Florida Straits, between the United States and Cuba.

"Exactly when the oil will enter the Loop Current at the surface is unknown but it appears to be imminent," Weisberg said, referring to the prevailing current in the Gulf.

"It could be days or it could be longer but it looks like it's going to happen, and it looks like it's going to happen now sooner than later," he said.

However, depending on local winds, Florida's southwest beaches and the Florida Keys, along with coral reefs and the fragile ecosystem of the Everglades, could be spared from the oil slick, Weisberg said.

That is because ocean circulation models show it heading out to sea, past the Dry Tortugas islands, before it is caught up in the Gulf Stream and makes its way up the U.S. East Coast, he said.

"Once it's at the entrance to the Florida Straits it's only another week or so before it could be in the vicinity of Miami or Palm Beach and one more week or so until it could be as far north as Cape Hatteras," Weisberg said.

Asked about the possibility of the oil entering the Loop Current, a spokesperson for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said the agency had no immediate forecast of this.

"As far as the Florida Loop Current (goes), our predictions go to 72 hours out and right now the predictions are not (for) an effect on Florida at this moment," she said.

Weisberg said whether or not the oil got into shallow water on its possible ocean journey would be totally dependent on winds.

"Whether or not the oil makes landfall anywhere will depend on what the winds are doing at that particular point in time ... It's likely that there could be oil on the beaches in Miami but we really can't say for sure right now."



To our county partners:

Let me spend a few moments in updating you from my perspective where we are in the current activation for Deepwater Horizon:
  1. We are activated to a Level Two and will go to a Level One when oil reaches our shores. In the SEOC we have USCG and BP response personnel.
  2. It should be noted though that all decisions are being made out of Unified Command in Mobile, therefore we have sent 35 members of the team to form a F-SERT in support of Florida’s efforts.
  3. The Secretary and I flew the oil spill with Gov Crist, Attorney General McCullum and CFO Sink and the oil is almost 50 miles from our coast and is not moving rapidly in our direction, so issues of the spill coming ashore in 72 or even 96 hours are not accurate.
  4. BP has pledged $25 million for response costs for Florida. These funds will be for your additional actions for booming above and beyond the area contingency plans. DEM will be the grantee for the funds and will work with you to seek additional funds for other support costs, but for now these funds are for only protecting Florida’s coasts.
  5. Sector St Pete, covering from Dixie through Collier is standing up a planning cell only. Jim Roberts is my lead over there and again this oil is so far from St Pete that standing up a planning cell while appropriate should not be used as an indication of an immediate concern. Also we are watching the proximity of the oil in relation to the loop current and do not have any indication that it is posing an immediate danger.
  6. We may reach out to you for staff to assist either here at the SEOC or Unified Command in the near future.
  7. We will continue to hold our 1630 EDT calls and hope they help alleviate some of the concerns for your elected officials. If you need more specific information please let us know, but rest assured after visiting Unified Command in Mobile, that all that can be done is being done. The dome is built to cover the leak and attempts to lower it will begin over this next weekend. Remember that each 20' length of pipe must be connected to it as it is lowered and it is 5,000' to the bottom so it will be a few days before the dome is in place and then a few more days before they have ships in place to receive the oil.
Please be assured that the Governor, Secretary Sole and the entire team are working on this issue and much like an on-coming hurricane we do not know the current intensity nor where it will strike so we are planning with you and will continue to support you and your efforts ... Dave

David Halstead
Director
Florida Division of Emergency Management

"Failure is not an Option"